DWCS
Only broke down the fights I’m going to have bets on. Sorry WMMA
Bets
Jesus Santos Aguilar +150 bet 1 unit to win 1.5
Props
Aguilar by Dec +300 bet .5 units to win 1.5
Kim by tko +225 bet 1 unit to win 2.25
Gogaldze by tko +100 bet 2 units to win 2
Parlays
Neves vs Parkin fight ends in round 1 + Gogaldze vs Flowers fight ends in round 1 = +211 bet 2 units to win 4.22
Cameron Saaiman vs Josh Wang-Kim
Cameron is only 21 years old. Watching tape on him you can see the improvements fight to fight. He’s technically sound in his striking and has great entrances and timing on his takedowns. He is still sharpening his skills though, and sometimes is a bit out of position or over aggressive and gets hit. He’s shown a great chin to this point and his flaws have not hurt him. This is a big step up for him. Kim is 29 years old and his striking is slick. This dude has legit hands and is creative in there. He has a good submission game as well. Good knack for the ground game. Follows his opponents body movements well. I like Saaiman as a prospect, but it’s not his time yet. Kim finishes him
Erisson Ferreira vs Jesus Santos Aguilar
Ferreira is fast on his feet and hits very hard. This will be his second attempt on DWCS. His first attempt showed his aggressive style and it back fired on him a few times. He was dropped, but able to recover. He won the fight, but was not awarded a contract. He had some trouble making weight this go around. Needed a second attempt. His aggressive style may back fire again against Aguilar. Aguilar has good hands as well and I really like how he keeps his hands up in defense. Aguilar is more than willing to take you down and he has great entrances when his opponent is being over aggressive. At +150 Aguilar is the play. He should have a path to victory with his wrestling
Amiran Gogoladze vs Darrius Flowers
This is a hell of a fight. Both guys hit hard as hell and are aggressive. One mistake by either man will spell the end of the night. My one problem for Flowers is he’s hitable. The announcers talked about his excellent lateral movement in his last fight, but I didn’t see it. I saw openings that were not being exploited by his opponent. Amiran will take those openings. Line is a bit wide though and low level guys with power have cost me before. I may look into the props on this one, but they are not out yet on Dk
Eduardo Neves vs Michael Parkin
This fight will not be going the distance. Both guys like to stand and bang and both guys are finishers. They have excellent chins, but they hit so hard someone is going down. Parkin trains with Tom Aspinall, which I love. High variance fight. Again I will be looking at some props, but not taking either guy straight up.