Erik's UFC 282 Tape Study Notes/Full Card Breakdown

Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev

JAN BLACHOWICZ (ORTH) VS MAGOMED ANKALAEV (SOUTHPAW/SWITCH)

Jan Blachowicz is one of those UFC feel-good stories, a la Charles Oliveira. After plying his trade for years as a solid but inconsistent mid-card fighter, he eventually broke through to the elite level and got the belt wrapped around his waist. And he accomplished all this with what could really be described as a pretty basic, meat-and-potatoes kind of game. 

In his most recent outing against Aleksandar Rakic, Jan looked a little slow and labored, and his striking game was a bit too predictable, as he went to the left-hook-to-the-gut-followed-by-right-cross combo over and over, until Rakic could see it coming a mile away. The guy is 39 years old with almost 40 fights on his resume, so a dropoff is more than expected at this point. And Magomed Ankalaev seems like a daunting guy to step in there against if you're starting to slow down.

After falling victim to a Paul Craig armbar in the literal LAST SECOND of his UFC debut, Magomed Ankalaev has reeled off nine consecutive wins against increasingly stiffer competition, most recently dispatching divisional stalwarts Anthony Smith, Thiago Santos, and Volkan Oezdemir. 

Ankalaev is a fighter who doesn't always put on the most exciting performance, but he's impressive in his ability to stay consistent and measured and simply do what he needs to do to get his hand raised. He doesn't get emotional; he doesn't get wild. He just makes his reads, falls into a rhythm that keeps him a little ahead and sticks with it. (Not that he can't get you out of there–he's found finishes in 5 of his UFC wins.) He's capable of incredible moments of violence when ground-and pound opportunities present themselves, as we saw in the Anthony Smith fight. 

It's hard not to like Magomed Ankalaev in this fight, as the guy who's 9 years younger and currently enjoys a 9-fight win streak against the best the UFC's light-heavyweight division has to offer. Jan's time is nearing an end, and the future belongs to Magomed Ankalaev. I'll line the fight Ankalaev -240 or 70%. (Currently, Ankalaev can be had for -255 or about 72%. I'd probably parlay him at that number, and I won't be surprised if that line continues to swell–heck, I won't be surprised if we see Ankalaev at -300 by fight day.)

PADDY PIMBLETT (ORTH) VS JARED GORDON (ORTH)

Paddy Pimblett is one of the biggest rising stars in the UFC right now. He's clearly got a wealth of natural ability and has developed skills in every area, but he's still pretty raw, and the UFC is matching him up accordingly. On the feet, he throws with power, but he tends to be very loose and wild, and he doesn't seem to have a mind for defense. At this point in his career, Paddy is likely to get starched by a powerful, accurate striker. He does show a solid grappling game, with decent top control, good scrambling, and an ability to opportunistically snatch up submissions from a variety of angles. 

Based on what we saw in the Jordan Leavitt fight, it's hard not to think that a really good wrestler–especially a physically strong one–might ragdoll Paddy all over the place. 

Jared Gordon is a solid wrestler, but an unspectacular one. In fact, no offense to the guy, but the same can be said for his overall MMA game. He's serviceable everywhere, but he doesn't have skills anywhere that are really gonna knock your socks off.

I'm not gonna say much more about this fight. The UFC knows what they're doing. They're bringing Paddy up slowly, and they don't want him to lose–not yet. Not that the UFC's plans always work out for them, but I think they will here. I like Paddy by rear-naked choke. I'd line the fight Paddy Pimblett -240 or 70%. (Currently, Paddy can be had for -200 or 67%. Not much of an edge there, but I'd probably be willing to parlay Paddy at that number. Just a matter of whether I find another leg to parlay him with before that line moves too much. Heck, I might even bet Paddy straight-up at that number, as I think this line will continue to swell, and I'll probably have an opportunity to hedge for guaranteed profit.)

DARREN TILL (SOUTHPAW) VS DRICUS DU PLESSIS (ORTH)

I'm not gonna lie: I all but forgot Darren Till even existed. He fought Derek Brunson just over a year ago, but I could have sworn he hadn't fought in like 3-4 years. He started his UFC career at 170, but he's since bumped up to 185, where he's experienced mixed results to say the least, having had his hand raised only once in his last five walks to the Octagon. (To be fair, he's been stepping in there against mostly elite or near-elite competition.) 

Till has very pretty striking: quick, snappy, and accurate. He uses his jab to set up a very nice, straight right cross that comes with surprising speed and power. However, he can be quite low-volume, sometimes waiting too long for an opening rather than looking to proactively make something happen. He does have pretty good hips and shows nearly 79% TDD, so not bad at all. 

Dricus Du Plessis is an all power, all the time, kinda guy. He throws everything hard, and when he unleashes a combo, he literally RUNS across the cage to do so–and he often leaves his chin hanging in the air like he's serving it up on a silver platter, which could absolutely bite him in the ass against a quick and accurate striker like Till. Dricus may look to use his wrestling here, but I think Till will be able to defend the majority of TD attempts that might come his way. 

Dricus does throw much more volume than Till, so if the fight goes the distance, it's possible he could get the nod on volume. But I think it's more likely Dricus tires himself out with his big, explosive blitzes, and Till eventually catches him and puts him out. (I should add, though, that I don't love Till's long layoff, and I don't know where his head is at. I would potentially consider betting him here if I really like the number, but it's hard to really trust him here.) I'll line the fight Darren Till -140 or 58%, but I really have no idea where this line is gonna be. I have a sneaking suspicion it might be close to a coinflip. Let's find out. (Currently, Dricus Du Plessis can be had for -148 or 59%, with the comeback on Till at +128 or 44%. OK, yeah. Even though I have concerns about Till here, I think I gotta bet that. I might put a little on Till's KO prop when it comes out, too. Maybe even get a fancy with the round 3 KO. We'll see.) (UPDATE: I did bet Till at +128, but he's since swelled up to +172, leaving me with a choice to make: do I double down on him at that higher number? Not sure yet, but I feel like I'll end up dropping another half-unit on him at least.)

BRYCE MITCHELL (SOUTHPAW) VS ILIA TOPURIA

This is an awesome matchup. I'm taping this fight first, as it's arguably my favorite fight on the whole card. Forgive me for busting out this old cliche, but SOMEONE'S "O" HAS GOT TO GO. 

Bryce Mitchell didn't necessarily look like an uber-prospect on TUF back in 2018, but he's since put together an impressive 6-0 UFC run against an increasingly more daunting level of competition, culminated by a dominant decision over the dangerous Edson Barboza his last time out, in which he received scores of 30-27, 30-26, and even a rare 30-25. 

The kid's good; there's no doubt about it. 

The core of his game is strong wrestling and top control, with active, consistent ground and pound, but he's developing a serviceable kick-heavy striking game as well, bolstered by the fact that he doesn't mind if you're looking to take him to the ground. Think Ryan Hall, but without all the Imanari rolls. Mitchell did score his first 8 pro wins by submission, but since stepping up to the UFC level, he's gone to decision in 5 of 6 wins. 

Ilia Topuria, like Mitchell, is a solid wrestler and top-control grappler, but he also sports the added wrinkle of a dangerous striking game (although let's not forget that Bryce Mitchell did drop Edson Barboza with a right hand.) Of his 12 pro wins, 5 have come by submission, with 4 coming by way of strikes–and 7 of those finishes occurred in the first round. It's fair to say that Topuria brings the more dangerous and well-rounded game of the two overall. 

On the feet, Mitchell's best bet will be to use his kicks to keep the smaller Topuria at bay, as engaging him in boxing range doesn't seem like a great idea. Ultimately, Mitchell will want to get this fight to the ground, but will he be able to? I'm not so sure. And even if he can, I think Topuria is more than capable of creating openings to get back to his feet. It's hard not to favor Topuria in this spot, as I really think Mitchell needs TDs and top control to win this, and that's gonna be a tough road to victory here, I think. I like Ilia Topuria, to either win a decision or possibly even find a KO along the way. I'll line the fight Topuria -170 or 63%. (Currently, Topuria sits at -145 or 59%. That seems like a pretty good line. I think I'll bet that.)

EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN (ORTH) VS DALCHA LUNGIAMBULA (ORTH)

Edmen Shahbazyan started his UFC tenure with 4 straight wins (5 if you count DWCS), but he's since hit a 3-fight skid against high-level competition in Derek Brunson, Jack Hermansson, and Nassourdine Imavov. He's presumably been given a get-right spot here against the dangerous but inconsistent Dalcha Lungiambula. 

Shahbazyan has been in the UFC for 4 years now, so it's easy to lose sight of the fact that he's still only 25 years old. Edmen is reasonably well-rounded but most skilled on the feet, where his background as a shotokan karate black belt is evident in his wide, sideways stance and in-and-out style. (His standup style isn't as karate-based as someone like Stephen Thompson or Lyoto Machida, but the impact of karate on his style is definitely evident.) He's got wrestling and grappling in his back pocket but doesn't often look to actively push those skills in the cage. 

I really like Shahbazyan's ability to stay poised and patient in the striking, especially when he smells blood. In the Tavares fight, he knows he's got Brad hurt and he does a great job of cranking it up for the finish while still staying relaxed and picking his shots well. And at only 21 years old. He's also a great example of why stats can't be trusted and it's always important to look into the details. He shows 2.71 TDs attempted per 15 min, but in reality, he's attempted only 27 total TDs in 8 UFC fights, 21 of which were in the Darren Stewart fight. In 4 of his UFC fights, he has attempted 0 TDs. 

Dalcha Lungiambula is a very frustrating fighter to watch (this isn't the only time I'll be saying that in this write-up). He's got incredible natural athleticism and power and high-level grappling skills, but he's incredibly inconsistent and untrustworthy. Like Shahbazyan, Dalcha is currently on a 3-fight losing streak in the UFC. The difference is that Dalcha is only 2-4 overall in the promotion and dropped those 3 consecutive fights to a pretty middling level of competition. He's 100% fighting for his job here, and I'm honestly kinda surprised they're even giving him this chance. 

One thing that bears mentioning here is Dalcha's insane reach. He's 6 inches shorter than Shahbazyan but shows a 2-inch reach advantage. At 5'8", Dalcha's wingspan measures 6'4". Crazy stuff.

Overall, I think Edmen Shahbazyan has a lot of advantages here. He's the much better technical striker, he can grapple well enough to survive any difficult positions Dalcha might put him in, and he's got the cardio to outlast Dalcha and get him out of there. I like Edmen Shahbazyan by KO here. I'll line the fight Shahbazyan -240 or 70% (Currently, Edmen can be had for -275 or 73%. No real value there per se, but I'd maybe parlay him at that number, anyway, cuz I'm a degen like that.)

BILLY QUARANTILLO (ORTH) VS ALEX HERNANDEZ (ORTH)

This should be a fun action fight between two tough, reliable warriors. I expect a slugfest that takes place mostly if not entirely on the feet, so I'm not gonna go super deep into breaking this one down.

Billy Q has excellent high-volume boxing. He attempts more than 13 significant strikes per minute and lands more than 7. He likes to move forward, keep the pressure on, and keep jabs and hooks in your face to keep you on the back foot. I wouldn't say he's incredibly powerful, but he is capable of finishing opponents with strikes.

Alex Hernandez throws hard, straight punches with good power. Three of his 5 UFC wins have come by first-round KO. He's a big, solid dude who typically fights at 155 but will be coming down to meet Billy Q at 145 here. Billy Q is an inch taller, but I expect Hernandez to be the thicker, more physical guy in the cage. 

I think Hernandez's most likely path here is to catch Billy Q and KO him early, as Billy Q will likely outvolume him to a decision otherwise (if not a finish of his own). I'll line the fight Billy Q -150 or 60%. (Currently, Billy Q can be had for -160 or 61%. Probably gonna stay away from this one and just enjoy the action.)

ERIK SILVA (ORTH/SWITCH) VS TJ BROWN (ORTH/SWITCH)

Before his round-one drubbing of Glory kickboxer Anvar Boynazarov on Contender Series, Erik Silva was on a four-fight streak of round-one rear-naked choke finishes–and this wasn't against super low-level competition, either. The combined record of the four fighters he choked out in those fights is 44-20, for an average record of 11-5. Not too shabby. On the feet, he doesn't look especially polished, but he's quick and explosive and covers distance quickly. His typical MO seems to be going to grappling early, getting on a bodylock and sticking with it doggedly until he gets his opponent to the mat, where he works his suffocating top pressure and busy, powerful ground-and-pound. As you can probably glean from my wording there, I really like what I see from this guy on the ground. He stays really tight to his opponent, keeping good head control, and he's quite good at managing to maintain position while still landing HEAVY punches and elbows from top, which I love to see. 

TJ Brown is one of those fighters who seems to have a lot of tools on paper but struggles to put together consistent performances at the UFC level. He's strong, athletic, explosive. He's got fast hands, good wrestling, good submissions–especially his arm triangle, which he's managed to snatch up in 6 of his 16 pro wins. At 32, he's not necessarily a finished product, but it's unlikely we'll see massive improvements from him at this point. 

Oh, and while we're on the subject of age: Erik Silva is 35, which is a real bummer. One of those classic stories of a guy that looks pretty promising, but he's getting to the big show way too late to do anything with it. (Yes, I know Randy Couture didn't even make his MMA debut until he was 34, but he's Randy Couture, and everyone else isn't.)

I think this is an interesting fight. I like what I see from Erik Silva, and I like that he's fought some reasonably experienced opposition. I do wish I could see how his cardio holds up late in a fight, but the only fights I can find online are ones in which he submitted his opponent in the first round. He does have two decision wins early in his career, so that's something, I guess. 

I'm not sure how to line this fight. I do want to bear in mind that Silva is making his UFC debut off the Contender Series against a multi-fight UFC vet. Hmm. I'm gonna guess that it's lined pretty closely, but I'll favor TJ Brown slightly as the vet with higher-level experience. Let's go TJ Brown -125 or 55%. (Currently, it's a coinflip at -110 each. That doesn't surprise me. I'm gonna keep an eye on this line. I'd probably need at LEAST +140 on Silva to feel like I'm really getting any value, but let's be honest, sometimes I just get froggy and pull the trigger cuz I like betting on fights, goddammit.)

JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK (ORTH) VS CHRIS DAUKAUS (ORTH/SWITCH)

These guys are both on 2-fight skids, with Rozenstruik having been KO'ed early in his last appearance and Daukaus suffering KO's in both of his last two. 

Jairzinho Rozenstruik is heavyweight MMA personified. He possesses an extremely limited skillset but has managed a 6-4 record in the world's premiere organization by hitting hard and…well…that's about it. (Yes, I know he has a long and successful kickboxing career, but as an MMA fighter, he utilizes a very limited skillset.) He often adopts a painfully low-volume approach as he shuffles around and waits and shuffles around a little more and waits a little more for an opening to present itself so he can uncork one (or maybe even two) big punches in hopes of finding a KO. And that's it. That's pretty much his game. In 10 UFC appearances, he's never attempted a single takedown, and god willing, he never will. He's the kind of fighter who will never, ever win a decision because he just doesn't put out enough output. He either finds a KO or he loses. 

Chris Daukaus attempts twice as many strikes as Rozenstruik and lands more than twice as many. He stands 6'3" and weighs in around 240, so he's not short for the division, but he is on the smaller side. He carries quite a bit of fat at 240 and could certainly make 205 if he decided to; however, he feels that he enjoys a speed advantage over most HWs so he continues to step in there with the big boys (or, in this case, the Bigi Boys…I'm here all week, folks…tip your bartenders). 

Like Jairzinho, Daukaus does carry KO power in his hands, and also like Jairzinho, Daukaus has never attempted a TD in the UFC. Wow. Sixteen UFC appearances combined, and nary a TD attempt between them. It's kind of beautiful, really. So yeah, this will be a striking battle–and one that likely won't see the scorecards, as only two of their combined 16 UFC fights have gone to decision. 

This is an oversimplification probably, but it seems worth mentioning: I believe Daukaus has more ways to win. And what I mean by that is Daukaus could KO Rozenstruik or out-volume him to a decision, whereas Rozenstruik can likely only win by KO. So the question becomes…how likely is it that Rozenstruik will KO Daukaus before 15 minutes of cagetime has elapsed? And I think the answer is…fairly likely. Daukaus has been chin-checked in his last two fights, including against Curtis Blaydes who, with all due respect, isn't typically thought of as a power-puncher. Daukaus will surely swing big on Jairzinho and he may catch him, but I think Jair's counter style is likely to lead to him catching Daukaus clean with a big hook and ending his night. 

I already saw the odds for this fight. Jairzinho sits at -170 or 63%, with the comeback on Daukaus at +145 or about 41%. This might be a tiny bit wide, especially given Daukaus's potential to win a decision if Jairzinho doesn't catch him. If I were going to bet Jair here, I'd bet his KO prop, but I can't imagine it will be much different from his moneyline, honestly. If I were gonna bet this fight, this is exactly the kind of spot where I'd be forced to just go with whomever is at plus-money. Not interested in betting it at the moment; I'd probably need at least +170 if not +180 to bet Daukaus here, unless I hear a really soundly reasoned case for him to come out on top. Fight Doesn't Go the Distance will be insanely priced here, I imagine, but if you can grab it right when it drops, it could make for a decent parlay piece if you've got a book that lets you do that. Heck, I might bet Jairzinho by rd-1 KO if the line is decent. (UPDATE: Jairzinho by KO sits at -105. Better than I was expecting, honestly, but I hate betting a prop with a "-" in front of it. Probably gonna skip it. His round-one KO prop is +225, which is kind of tempting.)

CHRIS CURTIS (SOUTHPAW) VS JOAQUIN BUCKLEY

This fight has the potential to be a banger; hopefully it lives up to that potential. Curtis and Buckley are both heavy hitters who are capable of impressive moments of violence. 

Chris Curtis can crack but has a tendency to settle into a low-volume lull in some matchups. He can get stuck waiting for big openings to counter rather than going first or pushing the action. He also has a tendency to be losing fights until he's not. His last outing was a rather dull decision loss to Jack Hermansson in a lukewarm standup fight that saw Curtis mostly unable to get inside on Hermansson, who managed to more than double Curtis's striking output across 15 minutes.

Joaquin Buckley is best known as the man who landed the most meme KO of all meme KOs when he dealt with a caught kick by spinning around backwards and booting Impa Kasanganay into the shadow realm. Buckley is extremely athletic and explosive. He hits hard and he can wrestle (though Chris Curtis has seemingly bulletproof TDD, so not sure that will come into play here).

Buckley's speed and movement could be a difference-maker here, as he tends to use lateral movement to make himself a tough target, whereas Chris Curtis tends to be a bit more static and flat-footed. However, Curtis does like to put in work to the body, which could pay dividends down the road, as Buckley does tend to rely on explosive movements that tire him out down the stretch. 

I feel like Buckley's best shot is to finish Curtis in one explosive moment, but Curtis is very durable and hard to finish. Not a confident pick as I think this is a super close fight, but I like Chris Curtis to survive some scary moments early and take over down the stretch by just staying patient and tight and consistent. His tendency toward low-volume does concern me a little, though. I've already seen the odds here, and if I remember correctly, Buckley is a small favorite, though I don't recall how much. I'd probably need Curtis at like +150 or better here to feel confident betting him. (Currently, Buckley is favored at -163 or 62%, with the comeback on Curtis at +143 or 41%. Hmm. That's not quite the +150 I wanted, but it would be fun to have some action on this fight. I might wait and see if the line gets any better, but I won't be surprised if I'm holding a Chris Curtis ticket by fight day.)

DANIEL DA SILVA (SOUTHPAW) VS VINICIUS SALVADOR (SOUTHPAW)

This fight rules. Two guys with fun and dynamic striking games and all-offense-all-the-time mindsets. Sign me up. 

Daniel Da Silva is an extremely frustrating fighter to watch. Kid's got all the skill in the world, but he just can't seem to muster up complete and consistent performances in the cage. I believe I've used this metaphor to describe him before, but he's got all the lions but hasn't figured out how to put them together into Voltron yet. 

On the feet, he's quick, powerful, and creative, launching everything from simple calf kicks and 1-2s to spinning wheel kicks and spinning backfists, and all with impressive speed and power. He's also very slick with grappling transitions and locking on subs. However, he's a clear frontrunner, and if he can't get you out of there in the first few minutes, he seems to fall apart. He either wins early or loses early, and so far in the UFC, it's been all the latter, as he's dropped 3 in a row–two in the first round and one very early in the second. He's definitely fighting for his job here. He's only 26, so even if he loses and gets his walking papers, we could conceivably see him fight his way back to the promotion. 

Vinicius Salvador is an absolute joy to behold. Very loose and unorthodox on the feet. He holds his hands low and employs a style where he almost looks like he just woke up from a nap but he's lazily knocking your head off at the same time. His strikes aren't especially quick or snappy, but as weird as it sounds, I think this might almost work in his favor at times, as it leads to a weird rhythm and his strikes don't really land when/where you think they're going to, making them difficult to defend. In his Contender Series fight, he dropped Shannon Ross like 3 or 4 times in the first round. He employs smooth head movement and, though he holds his hands low, he does a nice job of rolling with the punches that do land. 

Da Silva probably has some grappling upside here should he choose to use it, but I think the best bet is for this fight to end early. Both of these guys tend to live by the sword or die by the sword. 

As for a line…hmm. I'm not sure how to lean here. I think I might like Vinicius Salvador just slightly, but these guys are so dynamic and unpredictable that calling it a coinflip makes good sense to me. I'll go Vinicius -125 or 55%, but no real confidence there. (Currently, Vinicius Salvador sits at -187 or 65%. Wow, wasn't expecting that. If I was gonna bet a side, I'd have to take Da Silva at +162, but I prefer the U1.5 at -190. That's a pretty steep price to pay for U1.5, but it should hit, and even if it doesn't, I wouldn't be surprised if that line gets wider and presents an arb opportunity later in the week.)

JAY PERRIN (ORTH) VS RAUL ROSAS, JR. (SOUTHPAW/SWITCH)

I would normally have concerns about Rosas being only 18 years old, but he's been training MMA literally since he was like 5 and started fighting (or "fighting," maybe, with quotation marks) just a few years later. (Seriously, he allegedly took his first fight at 8 years old. I have no idea what an MMA fight between 8-year-olds looks like, but that's pretty nuts.) 

I did see the odds for this fight pre-tape. Rosas Jr. is favored, I think by quite a bit, but I don't remember the exact number. So I went into the tape hoping to like an underdog shot on Perrin. Buuuuut…I don't. Perrin is a solid but unspectacular fighter. He's decent everywhere. But man…as much as I didn't want to believe it, I think Rosas Jr. might be something special. On the feet, he can be a little chaotic and can tend to overextend and put himself out of position at times, but he's quick, he moves well, and he hits hard. He's relentless with TD attempts, and he's truly something to behold on the mat. It's clear that the kid was raised on the mats. He seems comfortable and well-versed in any position, he floats well on top, transitions quickly and smoothly between positions, and can snatch up submissions very quickly and opportunistically. 

Perrin is a guy that has a trick or two up his sleeve and he could surprise us here, but I think it's more likely that Raul Rosas Jr. is able to get TDs and just stay one step ahead of Perrin on the ground. He could snatch up a sub along the way, but I think I lean Raul Rosas Jr. by decision. I'll line the fight Rosas Jr. -212 or 68%. (Currently, Rosas Jr. can be had for -225 or 69%. I might use him as a parlay piece here.)

CAMERON SAAIMAN (ORTH/SWITCH) VS STEVEN KOSLOW

To be frank, I don't see a ton to love about Cameron Saaiman's game, but I don't see a ton to hate, either. He clearly has a decent base of skills, which he's building, but it's also pretty clear that he's only 21 and has only 6 fights (11 if you count amateur), largely against a very low level of competition. He's got some speed and agility. He switches stances often and mixes up his strikes pretty well. In his DWCS fight against Josh Wang-Kim, he had a shaky first round but cranked up the output and pressure in round 2 and looked pretty good, eventually finding a KO with a big left hook in the final frame. I did mostly like his poise and shot selection in that fight after Wang-Kim started to slow down and Cameron began to smell the blood in the water. I think he mostly just needs seasoning–especially against a higher level of competition–and the UFC isn't typically the greatest place to get that seasoning. But even if it is too early, he's here now, so it's time to see what he can do with it. 

As for Steven Koslow, the most recent footage I can find on him is from 2019. It's clearly shot on someone's cell phone from cageside, and it's hard to even figure out for sure which guy is Koslow. So…yeah. Hard to tell much of anything about this dude, but I would expect that the guy who got a knockout over a decent prospect on Contender Series will be favored pretty heavily over the guy whose most recent footage is over some 0-0 guy and was probably shot by his mom. I'm not even gonna try to line the fight, but I won't be surprised if Saaiman is like -300 or something. (Currently, Saaiman can be had for -260. This fight has more red flags than a matador convention, and as such, I will be staying far away.)