Never Hedge vs Johnny Covers
A bet off
As most of you know I picked Derek Brunson this week. We collaborated with Johnny before and we thought it would be fun to go head to head on a bet we differ on this week! Below is Johnny’s breakdown for his pick!
Johnny Covers from TopUFCPredictions.com here. Thanks to Kyle for giving me a platform to talk shop for what should be fantastic UFC 285 this weekend. Below is an excerpt from the premium section of my betting card this week, one that I know differs from Kyle's thoughts.
Driscus du Plessis - Inside the Distance (-120 at BetUS) to risk 2.4 units
The UFC’s search for their first South African star might very well be over, as Driscus du Plessis looks to make it four straight with the promotion and put himself in line for a middleweight title shot. Currently ranked #10, du Plessis will have to get through #5 Brunson, and as the market has already agreed with, I think we see just that.
Outside of an 89% takedown defense for Brunson, du Plessis holds the edges across the board, most notably in significant strikes landed per minute (2x), submission averages (2x), striking accuracy, and takedown accuracy.
At 29, du Plessis also holds a massive advantage in terms of wear and youth and is also the much more active fighter having fought twice in the past seven months. Having not fought in more than a year, a second-round loss to Jared Cannonier, the 39-year-old Brunson will be dealing with some ring rust on Saturday as well.
Featuring a pair of top 10 middleweights, this fight would be a main card bout if the UFC thought it had much of a chance of being competitive. Known for his fast starts with just one of his 20 professional fights going the distance, look for du Plessis to make quick work of the social media sensation Brunson.
Pick: Driscus du Plessis - Inside the Distance (-120 at BetUS) to risk 2.4 units
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Great stuff man !
LFG!