PFL Europe Best Bets
This card is filled with wide lines and unproven fighters. You could probably bet every dog on the card and come out in the green. There are two fights on this card that I feel confident we have an advantage betting. All the other fights are anyones guess.
Griet Eeckhout vs Mafalda Carmona
Griet Eeckhout +140 Bet 2 units to win 2.8
This is a low level Women’s MMA fight. Keep that in mind if you decide to bet this one, but I do believe there is an edge here. Eeckhout is tough as hell. She fought Mandy Baum and lost, but showed she wasn’t a fish out of water in that fight. She got a takedown against Baum and was competitive. She can take a punch and is willing to walk through them to get a takedown. Her striking isn’t terrible, but she is hitable.
Mafalda is only good when she has a grappling edge. She does not have the edge in grappling against Eeckhout. The wrong girl is favored here.
Lewis Monarch vs Oscar Onsworth
Under 2.5 rounds -145 Bet 2.9 units to win 2
Oscar Onsworth +210 Bet 1 unit to win 2.1
This is another low level fight, but both men have some decent upside. Monarch is by far the more polished striker and that is what the line makers were looking at when they lined this fight. The problem for Monarch is he is hitable and he has grappling deficiencies.
Onsworth is very awkward on the feet. Even his stance is odd to look at. Onsworth holds his hands down low, can easily be hit, but he seems to have one punch, game changing power. Onsworth is also freakishly strong for the division. If he is able to get ahold of Monarch he is completely capable of man handling him to the ground.
Onsworth is too powerful and should be the bigger man. In a low level fight that is enough to take a shot on the dog. Both of these men are finishers and the under 2.5 rounds prop is lined at -145. That is where my money will be