UFC 279 Betting Card and Breakdown
Not fucking around this week
UFC 279
I’m not fucking around this week. There are not many spots I like on this card, but the spots I like I LOVE. Very reduced card compared to normal and I feel great about it
Betting Card
Khamzat by tko -150 Bet 9 units to win 6
Khamzat by tko round 1 +240 Bet 2 units to win 4.8
Jailton ITD + Collier ITD = +185 Bet 4 units to win 7.4
Li Jingliang by tko round 1 +275 Bet 1 unit to win 2.75
Holland + Aldana + Cutelaba = +252 Bet 2 units to win 5.02
Khamzat vs Diaz
Not much to breakdown here. Money coming in on Diaz is insane. Never forget what the Red King did to Nate. Khamzat can do that ten fold. Khamzat by tko is a steal and I think it comes round 1
Jailton Almeida vs Anton Turkalj
I have been very vocal that I think Almeida will be a future title holder. The guy is a beast. He can beat Turkalj standing or on the ground. Hearing some people concerned Almeidas takedown game isn’t great. That couldn’t be more wrong. Almeida wins round 1. Almeida ITD can be parlayed with anything
Jake Collier vs Chris Barnett
Collier is good, Barnett is bad. Barnett wanted out in his last fight and tried to get the dq win. It didn’t work. Barnett will be flashy to start this fight, but collier is consistent. He will beat Barnett on the feet. Can take him down and submit him if he wants and the later this fight goes the more it favors Collier. Collier will eventually get the finish
Tony Ferguson vs The Leech
Fade fading fighters. Ferguson has been fading, I’ve never been sold on him anyways. He’s like Chucky O. Get beat until you win. I hate that strategy cause it’s bound to burn you. He’s moving up in weight against a hard hitting Leech. Leech tko round 1 and we all feel a little sad
Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez
This is the classic don’t overthink it fight. You are getting Holland in a stand up fight. TAKE HOLLAND IN A STAND UP FIGHT!!!!!!
Aldana vs Chaisson
Aldana is the better athlete and the better overall fighter. Chaissons only chance is to grind her against the cage and hope she gasses. I don’t see it. Aldana dominates on the feet and probably gets the finish
Ion Cutelaba vs Johnny Walker
Cutelabas last fight was a little bit flukey. He’s been having success following a wrestling gameplan and I think he follows that plan here. Grounds the athletic Walker. Cutelabas ground and pound is brutal. He knocks out Walker on the ground
Quick hitters that I’m not playing
Alateng is a beast and I think he wins this fight. He should have the power and wrestling advantage. Don’t mind a bet on him, I’m just spending money elsewhere
Hakeem Dawadu should be better than Erosa everywhere. I actually think he gets the KO, but Erosa scares me a bit. He’s wild and hits hard. I’m staying away