UFC 283 Betting Card
Props + parlays
UFC 283 Betting Card
Bets
Bruno Ferreira +250 Bet 1 unit to win 2.5
Deiveson Figueiredo +105 Bet 1 unit to win 1.05 (waiting to bet this unit after the weigh ins)
Props
Brandon Moreno vs Deiveson Figueiredo fight doesn’t go the distance +100 Bet 4 units to win 4
Glover Teixeira ITD +165 Bet 2 units to win 3.3
Glover Teixeira by sub +250 Bet 1 unit to win 2.5
Luan Lacerda by sub +600 Bet .5 units to win 3
Jessica Andrade by sub +500 Bet 1 unit to win 5
Brunno Ferreira by tko round 1 +750 Bet 1 unit to win 7.5
Gilbert Burns by tko round 1 +400 Bet 1 unit to win 4
Terrance McKinney by tko round 1 +240 Bet 2 units to win 4.8
Glover Teixeira by sub round 2 +1000 Bet .5 units to win 5
Parlays
Saimon Oliveira + Gabriel Bonfim + Thiago Moises = +2.27 Bet 1 unit to win 2.27
Josiane Nunes ITD + Jessica Andrade ITD = +237 Bet 2 units to win 4.74
Gilbert Burns ITD + Terrance McKinney ITD = +257 Bet 2 units to win 5.14
Moonshot violence parlay
Glover + Burns + Andrade + McKinney + Nunes all ITD = +3099 Bet 1 unit to win 30.99
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I have a special breakdown for you guys brought to you by Johnny Covers. You can find him on Twitter @johnnycovers and a link to his substack is below
“Josiane Nunes vs. Zarah Fairn Dos Santos
This matchup checks a ton of boxes in favor of Nunes, and while the price has shot away from us by nearly 50%, I think there’s some value in it ending early. Not only does Nunes come in with an 11-year age advantage, but her opponent Dos Santos has not fought in just shy of three years (ring rust).
Even if both of those things were equal, based on two fights each in the UFC, Nunes has the advantage across the board when it comes to the metrics. In striking, those advantages are significant.
While I typically stay away from women’s fights ending inside of the distance, just one of these two fighters’ last five fights has made it the full three rounds.
Lastly, the -120 posted at BetWay currently lags behind the rest of the market where this prop is closer to -150, where available, and as high as -175 at BetOnline (below). The total 2.5 rounds are also heavily shaded to the under across the board, with Nunes as high as a -590 favorite at FanDuel.
With a statement win here inching her that much closer to the top 10 in the bantamweight division, look for a strong showing from Nunes in her home country of Brazil.
Pick: Josiane Nunes - To Win by KO, TKO, DQ, or Submission (-120 at BetWay) to risk 2.4 units”