UFC Orlando
Full Betting Card and Breakdown
UFC Orlando
Bets
Emily Ducote-120 Bet 2.4 units to win 2
Istela Nunes +255 Bet 1 unit to win 2.55
Stephen Thompson +145 Bet 1 unit to win 1.45
Props
Marc Diakiese by sub +1200 Bet .5 units to win 6
Philip Rowe by tko +330 Bet 1 unit to win 3.3
Daukaus by sub +275 Bet 1 unit to win 2.75
RDA ITD +180 Bet 3 units to win 5.4
Hermansson vs Dolidze DGTD -110 Bet 3.3 units to win 3
Tuivasa by tko +215 Bet 2 units to win 4.3
Parlays
Levy + Diakiese + Pearce + RDA + Nicolau = +262 Bet 2 units to win 5.24
Levy ITD + Pearce ITD + RDA ITD = +946 Bet 1 unit to win 9.46
Daukaus ITD + Diakiese ITD = +875 Bet 1 unit to win 8.75
Emily Ducote - Decote is a good athlete and poses many problems for Hill. She should be the faster of the two, she hits harder and has shown good wrestling. Decote is the next gen womens fighter. Decote wins a Dec paying off her price tag easy
Istela Nunes - this is a close fight. Nunes has some big flaws in her game, but she is also very talented. I love how she throws those standing elbows. Can she get grounded and lose a Dec? Sure. But the line is wayyyyy too wide. Worth a bet
Stephen Thompson - I didn’t expect to be betting on Thompson in this spot. Looking at his tape and at his recent fights, I may have written him off too soon. Those were horrible matchups for him. Holland is a striker and it’s hard to beat Thompson at his own game. Holland also isn’t always focused and wants an excuse to walk away. Line is right for Thompson
Marc Diakiese - Michael Johnson is talented, but very very flawed. He struggles against any wrestler and Diakiese has shown he is a beast in that department. I think Diakiese makes a statement here and gets the finish round 1
Philip Rowe - one guy is getting knocked out in this fight. Price has taken so much damage in his career and Rowe hits very hard. Rowe can take it to give it too. Love him here. Rowe missed weight. Take this with a grain of salt
Kyle Daukaus - this is a really good matchup for Daukaus. He should be able to get Anders down and sub him right away. I was going to go really really hard betting Daukaus and betting him ITD. I backed off a bit because he is still unproven. Maybe he’s not as good as we initially thought. If that’s true Anders can knock him out or win a Dec
RDA - this matchup is mean. Someone wants Barberena out. RDA is so much better everywhere that I don’t even mind the move back up to 170
Hermansson vs Dolidze - I’ve been back and fourth on who i have winning this fight. I see it as either an early Dolidze finish or Dolidze gassing and Hermansson getting the finish round 2 or 3. Either way I see a finish and the line is right
Natan Levy - advantages everywhere including toughness. Levy bullies his way to a finish win here
Jonathan Pearce - another huge mismatch in skill level. Elkins is tough, but that’s it. Pearce tosses him around and finishes him round 1
Matheus Nicolau - Schnell took a lot of damage last time out. Nicolau more technical everywhere. Nicolau gets the finish that Mudaerji should have got
Tuivasa - raw power and toughness vs an unproven Russian. I’ll take that tko prop at +215 every single time