UFC Vegas 60
Whats up guys! Excited about this card. I feel like my reads have really been on point lately and I’m ready to translate that to some betting success this week! I’m also really working to continue to grow the NeverHedge brand! I’m going to bring back the video breakdowns and maybe some other shows coming soon! That will all start for the Oct 1st card! I want you to see more of this mug on camera haha. Good luck everyone!
Betting Card
Sandhagen ITD +250 Bet 1 unit to win 2.5
Gravely vs Basharat ITD + Gregory vs Chidi ITD + Pyfer ITD = +214 Bet 2 units to win 4.28
Anthony Hernandez + Daniel Zellhuber +107 Bet 3 units to win 3.21
Anthony Hernandez ITD +175 Bet 2 units to win 3.5
Tanner Boser ITD +130 Bet 2 units to win 2.6
Cameron VanCamp by tko +900 Bet .5 units to win 4.5
Cameron VanCamp round 1 +600 Bet .5 units to win 3
Sandhagen ITD + Hernandez ITD + Boser ITD = +2113 Bet 1 unit to win 21.13
Cory Sandhagen vs Song Yadong
What an excellent fight. Two high level guys who are going to be around for a long time. Yadong is somehow only 24 years old. I feel like he’s been around forever. Sandhagen lost his last two fights, but he arguably beat tj Dillashaw and his fight with Yan was close as hell too. Sandhagens stock went up for me after those two fights. His footwork is ridiculous and I think it will give Yadong fits. My favorite play for this fight is the ITD prop. It’s sitting at plus money and both of these guys will be looking to make a statement and they have 5 rounds to do it
Gregory Rodriguez vs Chidi
The bet is the inside the distance prop. Chidi head been absolutely deading guys recently and Rodriguez has heavy hands of his own. Rodriguez has the clearest path to victory with his grappling. Would not be shocked at all if he gets the finish on the ground. Fee confident using this prop as a parlay piece
Tony Gravely vs Javid Basharat
I love and hate this matchup. On one hand we get to watch two really talented fighters go at it. On the other we have two guys I want to bet on fighting each other. Both are excellent finishers so that’s what I’m going with. If it ends early it will probably be Gravely. The longer the fight goes the more I favor Basharat. In the end I think Basharat starts to get his strikes going and the body shots add up to finish a tired Gravely at the end of round 2
Anthony Hernandez vs Marc Andre Barriault
I don’t mind Barriault as a fighter. I don’t think he’s quite as bad as most people in the community seem to think he is. But with that said this is a bad matchup for him. Hernandez will grind out Barriault, tire him out and possibly sub him. Hernandez might be my favorite play on the card
Daniel Zallhuber vs Trey Ogden
Mismatch alert. Zallhuber is tough as nails and seems to be the real deal. He squeaked out a win over Almeida and this is a step down from that fight. Love Zallhuber here he’s a good prospect
Joe Pyfer vs Alen Amedovski
Amedovski may actually be the worst fighter on the roster. Pyfer hits hard and he’s just a mean dude. Pyfer by tko round 1
Tanner Boser vs Rodrigo Nascimento
Don’t love Boser as a heavyweight prospect, but this is as good a matchup as it gets for him. He will be the more mobile of the two and I see him bullying Nascimento. Eventually Boser will find the chin on an exchange. I envision an uppercut ending the night for Nascimento
Cameron VanCamp vs Nikolas Mota
Was going to pass on this fight completely because I don’t think either guy is UFC level, but after talking to the discord guys and looking at the lines, they are right. The finish props are way too wide for VanCamp. VanCamp nearly finished Fialho he can def finish Mota
Quick Hits
Agapova is a quitter. Can’t bet on quitters. Robertson should win this one.
Giles vs Cosce is a crap shoot. I’ve been higher on Giles than most in the past. I think this fight goes to decision
Damon Jackson vs Pat Sabatini is a fight I really was looking to target, but ultimately got scared off. Looking back on this fight we might be feeling dumb that we didn’t take Sabatini at this price
Andre Fili vs Bill Algeo is a great fight. I favor Fili. Still not sold on Algeo