UFC Vegas 73
Breakdown and betting card
UFC Vegas 73
First Look Rule Outs
Takashi Sato vs Themba Gorimbo
Sato is on a 3 fight losing streak with his only 2 UFC wins coming over Jason Witt and an ancient Ben Saunders. Gorimbo lost a short notice fight to AJ Fletcher. Neither man is new to the sport or a young buck. Line has it at a near pickem for a reason and I don’t bet on coin flips unless the odds are right
Natalia Silva vs Victoria Leonardo
Natalia Silva should roll here, but not taking massive womens mma favorites. That a rule out right away
Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Michael Johnson
Two aging fighters who at their bests are problems for anyone. Ferreira lost his last 3, but it was against 3 of the best in the world. MJ has had a bit of a career resurgence, but he has been dominated by wrestling before. Ferreira has been off for 2 years and I don’t know what version will show up Saturday. Not betting it
Lupita Godinez vs Emily Ducote
I like both of these girls, but these days I REALLY need to feel strongly to bet a WMMA fight. No strong feelings here
Mackenzie Dern vs Angela Hill
See above ⬆️
After Tape Rule Outs
Chase Hooper vs Nick Fiore
This one really hurts me to put on my rule out list, but after watching tape on Nick Fiore I just couldn’t get there. Hooper is so so bad, but this is a perfect opponent to lock in a sub. If hooper makes it through this he will be a great fade in his next fight
Betting Card
Ilir Latifi +150 Bet 1 unit to win 1.5
Latifi by Dec +400 Bet .5 units to win 2
Latifi may be old and a lot shorter, but he is better than Nascimento will ever be. I’m not too confident in this play after the weigh ins, but I’m not going to turn Nascimento into some killer in my head either. Winnable fight, price is right
Gilbert Urbina -110 Bet 2.2 units to win 2
Urbina by Dec +400 Bet .5 units to win 2
Cosce looked brutal on the scale, is the much smaller man and I leaned Urbina off tape anyways. Think it goes the distance
Karolina Kowalkiewicz -130 Bet 3.9 units to win 3
Kowalkiewicz ITD +600 Bet .5 units to win 3
Love Karolina in this spot. She is being severely disrespected. Pieces her up and gets the finish
Viacheslav Borshchev ITD +120 Bet 2 units to win 2.4
Don’t stand with Borshchev. Maheshate is going to stand with Borshchev.
Joaquin Buckley ITD +100 Bet 1 unit to win 1
Really like the confidence coming from Buckley. One of these guys is going down and I think Buckley has more ways to get it done
Edmen Shabazyan round 1 TKO +650 Bet .5 units to win 3.25
This line just seems off. Had to take it